UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Atlantic City, USA
22 Jun 2012
Featherweight
VS
27%
Pearson
73%
Swanson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:14
RP
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20 – 16
5'8"69" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
Cub
Cub Swanson
31 – 14
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Swanson

Swanson is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Swanson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pearson
Swanson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pearson
Swanson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
45.5
44.3
Performance Avg
48.8
42
Quality of Victory
40
89
Momentum Score
56
Pearson
Swanson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
23
4
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance22
1Clinch0
5Ground2
Pearson
Swanson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pearson
Swanson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
26/45 fights
Pearson
Swanson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Pearson
Swanson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pearson
Swanson
Striking4.3 / 6.2Volume5.6 / 5.2Grappling1.4 / 1.2Wrestling1.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
Pearson
Strike Zones
Swanson
Pearson
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD0BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Swanson
Attacking
23HEAD0BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the head (72% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Swanson targets the head (96% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pearson
RND
Swanson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pearson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W6.0L4.5W3.3L5.2W5.2W5.5L5.2W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5L3.6L4.5W5.5L1.5L2009-062012-062015-072017-062019-03
WinLossTrend

Swanson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.2W5.2W6.4W5.8W5.5W5.0W4.0L5.1L4.5W4.5W6.3W4.5W3.5L5.5L2.3L5.5L5.3W6.1W2.5L5.5W3.3L4.6W6.2L6.7W5.7W2011-112014-112018-042022-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Pearson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

Swanson · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

News & Media

Ross Pearson · Cub Swanson
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