METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Featherweight
VS
40%
Naimov
60%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:21
★ Official Result
Mairon SantoswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:21
def. Muhammad Naimov · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Naimov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Naimov's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NaimovSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Naimov
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+72"
32
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Naimov
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.6
75.0
47.8
Performance Avg
70.0
38
Quality of Victory
50
66
Momentum Score
100
Naimov
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
7.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
6.5
6.0
Style: Volume
6.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Naimov
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Naimov
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Naimov
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Naimov
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Naimov
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
NaimovSantos
Strike Zones
Naimov
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSantos
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Naimov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Naimov absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Naimov
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Naimov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Losene KeitaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · KO · R3
Mairon SantosKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Bogdan GradDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Kaan OfliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R3
Felipe LimaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
Santos · Last 4
W · KO · R3
Muhammad NaimovKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Francis MarshallDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R2
Kaan OfliKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08