UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Buenos Aires, Argentina
17 Nov 2018
Welterweight
VS
71%
Prazeres
29%
Fabinski
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:02
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Prazeres
Prazeres is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Prazeres throws more volume but Fabinski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fabinski has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Prazeres
Fabinski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+6'0"
67"
Reach
+75"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Prazeres
Fabinski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.5
12.6
48.3
Performance Avg
35.0
33
Quality of Victory
25
85
Momentum Score
45
Prazeres
Fabinski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
70%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch0
14Ground0
Prazeres
Fabinski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Prazeres
Fabinski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Prazeres
Fabinski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Prazeres
Fabinski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prazeres
Fabinski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
PrazeresFabinski
Strike Zones
Prazeres
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedFabinski
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prazeres targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fabinski absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Fabinski targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Prazeres absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prazeres
RND
Fabinski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Prazeres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Fabinski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Prazeres · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Fabinski · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Emil MeekRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Hector UrbinaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11