UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
Albuquerque, USA
7 Jun 2014
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Perez
47%
Caraway
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:52
EP
Erik Perez
"Goyito"
17 – 6
5'8"68" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 22
BC
Bryan Caraway
"Kid Lightning"
21 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Perez

This is a genuine toss-up — Perez at 53% vs Caraway at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Perez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Perez
Caraway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
68"
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Caraway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.3
20.0
54.6
Performance Avg
47.9
39
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
82
Perez
Caraway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Perez
Caraway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Perez
Caraway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
10/30 fights
Perez
Caraway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
82
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Perez
Caraway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perez
Caraway
Striking4.4 / 1.2Volume6.1 / 3.9Grappling2.5 / 6.1Wrestling1.8 / 4.3Submission1.4 / 6.7Pressure5.3 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Perez
Strike Zones
Caraway
Perez
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Caraway
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Caraway absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Caraway targets the head (100% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Perez
RND
Caraway
0/0R00/0

Perez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W4.5W4.5W2012-062013-082015-112016-11
WinLossTrend

Caraway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W5.5W5.5L5.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.5L2.0L2011-122013-042015-072018-11
WinLossTrend

Perez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Felipe ArantesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Sub · R2
Bryan CarawayRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Edwin FigueroaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11

Caraway · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Pedro MunhozRating 2
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Eddie WinelandRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Raphael AssuncaoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

News & Media

Erik Perez · Bryan Caraway
← Back to fights