METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 48: Payback
Las Vegas, USA
19 Jun 2004
Lightweight
VS
49%
Serra
51%
Menjivar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
IM
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Matt SerrawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ivan Menjivar · UFC 48: Payback
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Menjivar
→
Actual result
Serra wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Serra at 49% vs Menjivar at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Serra's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SerraMenjivar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Serra
Menjivar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
64"
52
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Serra
Menjivar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
19.2
53.3
Performance Avg
46.7
56
Quality of Victory
48
52
Momentum Score
64
Serra
Menjivar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
6.6
5.6
Style: Volume
2.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch1
7Ground1
Serra
Menjivar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Serra
Menjivar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/18 fights
Chin rating based on
9/37 fights
Serra
Menjivar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
64
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Serra
Menjivar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Serra
Menjivar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
SerraMenjivar
Strike Zones
Serra
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMenjivar
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Serra targets the head (67% of attacks) — Menjivar absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Menjivar targets the head (67% of attacks) — Serra absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Serra
RND
Menjivar
0/0R00/0
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L · Dec · R3
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