UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
Portland, USA
1 Oct 2016
Heavyweight
VS
45%
Abdurakhimov
55%
Harris
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Harris
This is a genuine toss-up — Abdurakhimov at 45% vs Harris at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Harris has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Harris throws more volume but Abdurakhimov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Abdurakhimov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Harris has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Abdurakhimov
Harris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
76"
Reach
+77"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Abdurakhimov
Harris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.1
29.6
41.0
Performance Avg
51.0
38
Quality of Victory
58
15
Momentum Score
65
Abdurakhimov
Harris
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
11
1
Body
2
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance10
1Clinch5
0Ground0
Abdurakhimov
Harris
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Abdurakhimov
Harris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/28 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Abdurakhimov
Harris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
65
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Abdurakhimov
Harris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Abdurakhimov
Harris
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
AbdurakhimovHarris
Strike Zones
Abdurakhimov
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedHarris
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Abdurakhimov targets the head (65% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Harris targets the head (73% of attacks) — Abdurakhimov absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Abdurakhimov
RND
Harris
0/0R00/0
Abdurakhimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Harris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Abdurakhimov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Chris DaukausRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
Harris · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Alistair OvereemRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05