★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
80%
Shevchenko
20%
Eye
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shevchenko
Shevchenko is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Striking split: Eye throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Eye has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Shevchenko
Eye
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
66"
38+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Eye
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.2
16.0
66.5
Performance Avg
28.6
55
Quality of Victory
26
53
Momentum Score
30
Shevchenko
Eye
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
58%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Shevchenko
Eye
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shevchenko
Eye
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Shevchenko
Eye
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
30
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Shevchenko
Eye
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shevchenko
Eye
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
ShevchenkoEye
Strike Zones
Shevchenko
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedEye
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (50% of attacks) — Eye absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Eye targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shevchenko
RND
Eye
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Eye · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 6.3Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 6.1Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa GrassoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
Alexa GrassoRating 4.6Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Eye · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R5
Cynthia CalvilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12