UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Las Vegas, USA
27 Mar 2021
Middleweight
VS
62%
Barriault
38%
Azaitar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barriault
Barriault holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Azaitar has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barriault has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Barriault has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Barriault's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barriault
Azaitar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
74"
Reach
+76"
36+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barriault
Azaitar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
22.1
41.9
Performance Avg
28.3
45
Quality of Victory
25
13
Momentum Score
27
Barriault
Azaitar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
58
Head
4
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance7
1Clinch0
43Ground0
Barriault
Azaitar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barriault
Azaitar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Barriault
Azaitar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
27
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Barriault
Azaitar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barriault
Azaitar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
BarriaultAzaitar
Strike Zones
Barriault
Attacking
59 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedAzaitar
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
59 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barriault targets the head (98% of attacks) — Azaitar absorbs 98% of strikes there
🎯Azaitar targets the head (57% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barriault
RND
Azaitar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barriault · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Azaitar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Barriault · Last 5
Upcoming
Brad TavaresUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Dustin StoltzfusRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
Azaitar · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Sedriques DumasRating 5.5Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · KO · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07