METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Las Vegas, USA
22 Feb 2014
Bantamweight
VS
41%
Gibson
59%
Sterling
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Cody
Cody Gibson
"The Renegade"
22 – 12
5'10"71" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 38
Aljamain
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
26 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak37 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"
CFR 54
★ Official Result
Aljamain SterlingwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cody Gibson · UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sterling
→
Actual result
Sterling wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Gibson at 41% vs Sterling at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Gibson's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sterling has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GibsonSterling
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gibson
Sterling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
71"
Reach
71"
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gibson
Sterling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.3
54.2
38.7
Performance Avg
54.2
46
Quality of Victory
38
25
Momentum Score
71
Gibson
Sterling
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
4.7
3.2
Style: Volume
6.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
0
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance2
1Clinch2
1Ground7
Gibson
Sterling
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gibson
Sterling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
23/31 fights
Gibson
Sterling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
71
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Gibson
Sterling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gibson
Sterling
Striking3.9 / 2.7Volume3.2 / 6.5Grappling3.5 / 3.2Wrestling2.4 / 2.3Submission3.3 / 2.2Pressure5.5 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Gibson
Strike Zones
Sterling
Gibson
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Sterling
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gibson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sterling targets the head (64% of attacks) — Gibson absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gibson
RND
Sterling
0/0R00/0

Gibson · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Abdul Hussein
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Aoriqileng
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Da'Mon Blackshear
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Chad Anheliger
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Brian Kelleher
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07

Sterling · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Youssef Zalal
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian Ortega
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar Evloev
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin Kattar
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'Malley
KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Cody Gibson · Aljamain Sterling
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