UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
Louisville, USA
3 Mar 2011
Middleweight
VS
26%
Sakara
74%
Weidman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AS
Alessio Sakara
"Legionarius"
19 – 11
6'0"72" reachOrthodox44 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 18
Chris
Chris Weidman
"The All-American"
16 – 8
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Weidman

Weidman is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sakara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sakara's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Weidman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sakara
Weidman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+78"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sakara
Weidman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
51.1
46.1
Performance Avg
57.0
48
Quality of Victory
55
76
Momentum Score
51
Sakara
Weidman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
48%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
14
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
2Clinch0
2Ground11
Sakara
Weidman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sakara
Weidman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
7
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/30 fights
Chin rating based on
20/24 fights
Sakara
Weidman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
51
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Sakara
Weidman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
58%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sakara
Weidman
Striking7.5 / 4.5Volume3.5 / 4.5Grappling0.8 / 3.0Wrestling0.6 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure6.0 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Sakara
Strike Zones
Weidman
Sakara
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Weidman
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sakara targets the head (57% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Weidman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sakara absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sakara
RND
Weidman
0/0R00/0

Sakara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0104.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W6.3L1.5L4.0L1.5L2006-022007-092009-082012-112013-10
WinLossTrend

Weidman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.1W5.1W5.1W4.5W5.0W3.4L4.0L2.8L5.6W4.0L2.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.8W3.5L2011-032013-072016-112020-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Sakara · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Nicholas MusokeRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · R1
Patrick CoteRating 4
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · KO · R1
Brian StannRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03

Weidman · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

News & Media

Alessio Sakara · Chris Weidman
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