UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Glendale, USA
14 Apr 2018
Welterweight
VS
58%
Lima
42%
Okami
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lima
This is a genuine toss-up — Lima at 58% vs Okami at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Lima throws more volume but Okami connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lima's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Okami has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lima
Okami
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
37+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lima
Okami
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.4
16.7
34.8
Performance Avg
46.5
34
Quality of Victory
33
91
Momentum Score
78
Lima
Okami
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
39%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground9
Lima
Okami
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lima
Okami
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
21/46 fights
Lima
Okami
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Lima
Okami
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lima
Okami
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
LimaOkami
Strike Zones
Lima
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedOkami
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Okami targets the head (90% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lima
RND
Okami
0/0R00/0
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Okami · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Lima · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Luke JumeauRating 4.5Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R1
Chad LapriseRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
Okami · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Dhiego LimaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
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