UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Flyweight
VS
45%
Scoggins
55%
Sampo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JS
Justin Scoggins
11 – 5
5'7"66" reachSouthpaw34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
JS
Josh Sampo
"The Gremlin"
11 – 5
Submission Hunter3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'4"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sampo

This is a genuine toss-up — Scoggins at 45% vs Sampo at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sampo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Scoggins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Scoggins's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Scoggins
Sampo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
64"
34+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Scoggins
Sampo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
16.7
38.0
Performance Avg
39.7
34
Quality of Victory
50
39
Momentum Score
36
Scoggins
Sampo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.6
63%
Strike Accuracy
29%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
9
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance5
0Clinch2
0Ground1
Scoggins
Sampo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Scoggins
Sampo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Scoggins
Sampo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
36
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Scoggins
Sampo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Scoggins
Sampo
Striking3.4 / 0.5Volume6.9 / 0.5Grappling1.8 / 8.0Wrestling1.3 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure3.1 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Scoggins
Strike Zones
Sampo
Scoggins
Attacking
7HEAD9BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Sampo
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD9BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Scoggins targets the body (56% of attacks) — Sampo absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Sampo targets the head (75% of attacks) — Scoggins absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Scoggins
RND
Sampo
0/0R00/0

Scoggins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W3.2L2.8L6.9L2013-122014-092016-112018-07
WinLossTrend

Sampo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.2W5.5L1.5L5.5L2013-112014-022014-072015-05
WinLossTrend

Scoggins · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R2
Pedro MunhozRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

Sampo · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Justin ScogginsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
L · Sub · R1
Paddy HolohanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Zach MakovskyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
W · Sub · R2
Ryan BenoitRating 5.2
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11

News & Media

Justin Scoggins · Josh Sampo
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