METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Flyweight
VS
45%
Scoggins
55%
Sampo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Justin ScogginswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Sampo · UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sampo
→
Actual result
Scoggins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Scoggins at 45% vs Sampo at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sampo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Scoggins's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ScogginsSampo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Scoggins
Sampo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
64"
34+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Scoggins
Sampo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
16.7
38.0
Performance Avg
39.7
34
Quality of Victory
50
39
Momentum Score
36
Scoggins
Sampo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
7.8
6.9
Style: Volume
0.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
9
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance5
0Clinch2
0Ground1
Scoggins
Sampo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Scoggins
Sampo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Scoggins
Sampo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
36
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Scoggins
Sampo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Scoggins
Sampo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
ScogginsSampo
Strike Zones
Scoggins
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedSampo
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Scoggins targets the body (56% of attacks) — Sampo absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Sampo targets the head (75% of attacks) — Scoggins absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Scoggins
RND
Sampo
0/0R00/0
Scoggins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoDecision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Sampo · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Justin ScogginsDecision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
L · Sub · R1
Paddy HolohanSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
W · Sub · R2
Ryan BenoitSubmission
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