METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Flyweight
VS
45%
Scoggins
55%
Sampo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Justin ScogginswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Sampo · UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sampo
→
Actual result
Scoggins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Scoggins at 45% vs Sampo at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sampo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Scoggins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Scoggins's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ScogginsSampo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Scoggins
Sampo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
64"
34+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Scoggins
Sampo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
16.7
38.0
Performance Avg
39.7
34
Quality of Victory
50
39
Momentum Score
36
Scoggins
Sampo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.6
63%
Strike Accuracy
29%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
9
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance5
0Clinch2
0Ground1
Scoggins
Sampo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Scoggins
Sampo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Scoggins
Sampo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
36
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Scoggins
Sampo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Scoggins
Sampo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
ScogginsSampo
Strike Zones
Scoggins
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedSampo
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Scoggins targets the body (56% of attacks) — Sampo absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Sampo targets the head (75% of attacks) — Scoggins absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Scoggins
RND
Sampo
0/0R00/0
Scoggins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Sampo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Scoggins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R2
Pedro MunhozRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Sampo · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Justin ScogginsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
L · Sub · R1
Paddy HolohanRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Zach MakovskyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
W · Sub · R2
Ryan BenoitRating 5.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11