METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Machida
57%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Lyoto MachidawinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:59
def. Thiago Silva · UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Machida wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Machida at 43% vs Silva at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Machida's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MachidaSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Machida
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
74"
48
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Machida
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
24.7
53.8
Performance Avg
60.6
45
Quality of Victory
54
78
Momentum Score
100
Machida
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
8.1
5.3
Style: Volume
2.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
4
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance0
2Clinch2
12Ground0
Machida
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Machida
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/32 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Machida
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Machida
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
86%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Machida
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
MachidaSilva
Strike Zones
Machida
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSilva
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Machida targets the head (67% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (50% of attacks) — Machida absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Machida
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Machida · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortKO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdSubmission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
Silva · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Rafael CavalcanteKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Upcoming
Stanislav NedkovUFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Alexander GustafssonDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
Upcoming
Brandon VeraUFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01