METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2016
Middleweight
VS
3%
Uda
97%
Vettori
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:30
★ Official Result
Marvin VettoriwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:30
def. Alberto Uda · UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vettori
→
Actual result
Vettori wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Vettori is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vettori has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Vettori has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Uda's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
UdaVettori
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Uda
Vettori
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
Reach
74"
41
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Uda
Vettori
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.8
50.2
0.0
Performance Avg
40.0
0
Quality of Victory
31
0
Momentum Score
84
Uda
Vettori
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
1.4
33%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
10
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
3Ground8
Uda
Vettori
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Uda
Vettori
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/14 fights
Chin rating based on
19/29 fights
Uda
Vettori
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Uda
Vettori
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
22%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Uda
Vettori
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
UdaVettori
Strike Zones
Uda
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedVettori
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Uda targets the head (75% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Vettori targets the head (100% of attacks) — Uda absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Uda
RND
Vettori
0/0R00/0
Uda · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Vettori · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Uda · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Marvin VettoriRating 2.3Submission
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
L · KO · R2
Jake CollierRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
Vettori · Last 5
Upcoming
Ismail NaurdievUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 6.8Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06