UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2016
Middleweight
VS
3%
Uda
97%
Vettori
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:30
AU
Alberto Uda
12 – 2
6'3"Orthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
Marvin
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
19 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vettori

Vettori is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Vettori has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Vettori has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Uda's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Uda
Vettori
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
Reach
74"
41
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Uda
Vettori
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.8
50.2
0.0
Performance Avg
40.0
0
Quality of Victory
31
0
Momentum Score
84
Uda
Vettori
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.4
33%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
10
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
3Ground8
Uda
Vettori
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Uda
Vettori
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/14 fights
Chin rating based on
19/29 fights
Uda
Vettori
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Uda
Vettori
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
22%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Uda
Vettori
Striking0.0 / 1.1Volume0.0 / 7.3Grappling0.0 / 3.6Wrestling0.0 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.2Pressure0.0 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Uda
Strike Zones
Vettori
Uda
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Vettori
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Uda targets the head (75% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Vettori targets the head (100% of attacks) — Uda absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Uda
RND
Vettori
0/0R00/0

Uda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.5
0102.8L2.3L2016-052016-08
WinLossTrend

Vettori · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W5.5L4.5W6.9L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.4W5.1W6.9L5.5W6.4L5.9W6.5L6.9L6.8L7.1L2016-082019-102021-102025-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Uda · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Marvin VettoriRating 2.3
Submission
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
L · KO · R2
Jake CollierRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

Vettori · Last 5

Upcoming
Ismail Naurdiev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Alberto Uda · Marvin Vettori
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