UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
Paris, France
6 Sept 2025
Welterweight
VS
60%
Patterson
40%
Waters
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:01
Sam
Sam Patterson
14 – 3
6'3"78" reachOrthodox30 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 69
Trey
Trey Waters
"The Truth"
9 – 2
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'5"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Patterson

Patterson holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Waters has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Patterson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.

Waters has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Patterson
Waters
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
78"+
Reach
77"
30+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Patterson
Waters
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.2
46.3
60.9
Performance Avg
41.7
57
Quality of Victory
25
85
Momentum Score
73
Patterson
Waters
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
9
0
Body
3
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
25Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Patterson
Waters
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Patterson
Waters
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Patterson
Waters
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
73
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Patterson
Waters
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Patterson
Waters
Striking6.3 / 1.3Volume1.3 / 9.3Grappling4.0 / 2.4Wrestling2.8 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure9.0 / 2.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
1.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Patterson
Strike Zones
Waters
Patterson
Attacking
21HEAD0BODY4LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY6LEGS18 absorbed
Waters
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY6LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD0BODY4LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Patterson targets the head (84% of attacks) — Waters absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Waters targets the head (50% of attacks) — Patterson absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Patterson
RND
Waters
0/0R00/0

Patterson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0102.4L5.0W5.0W5.7W5.6W6.3L2023-032024-012024-072025-032025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Waters · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.9W5.5W3.2L2023-042024-052025-09
WinLossTrend

Patterson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Trey WatersRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Danny BarlowRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Kiefer CrosbieRating 5
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Yohan LainesseRating 5
Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

Waters · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Sam PattersonRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Billy Ray GoffRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Josh QuinlanRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04

News & Media

Sam Patterson · Trey Waters
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