METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
Paris, France
6 Sept 2025
Welterweight
VS
61%
Patterson
39%
Waters
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:01
★ Official Result
Sam PattersonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:01
def. Trey Waters · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Patterson
→
Actual result
Patterson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Patterson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Waters has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Patterson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PattersonWaters
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Patterson
Waters
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
78"+
Reach
77"
30+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Patterson
Waters
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.6
46.3
62.5
Performance Avg
41.7
57
Quality of Victory
25
98
Momentum Score
73
Patterson
Waters
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
9.1
Style: Pressure
2.0
1.4
Style: Volume
9.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
9
0
Body
3
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
25Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Patterson
Waters
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Patterson
Waters
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Patterson
Waters
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
73
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Patterson
Waters
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Patterson
Waters
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
1.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
PattersonWaters
Strike Zones
Patterson
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedWaters
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Patterson targets the head (84% of attacks) — Waters absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Waters targets the head (50% of attacks) — Patterson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Patterson
RND
Waters
0/0R00/0
Patterson · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Trey WatersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Danny BarlowKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Kiefer CrosbieSubmission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
Waters · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Sam PattersonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Billy Ray GoffDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Josh QuinlanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04