UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
St. Louis, USA
11 May 2024
Lightweight
VS
53%
Hooper
47%
Borshchev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hooper
This is a genuine toss-up — Hooper at 53% vs Borshchev at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Hooper throws more volume but Borshchev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hooper's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Borshchev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hooper
Borshchev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
69"
26+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hooper
Borshchev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
45.4
51.8
Performance Avg
41.3
45
Quality of Victory
47
51
Momentum Score
40
Hooper
Borshchev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.8
45%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
29Ground0
Hooper
Borshchev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hooper
Borshchev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
68
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Hooper
Borshchev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Hooper
Borshchev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hooper
Borshchev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
HooperBorshchev
Strike Zones
Hooper
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBorshchev
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hooper targets the head (100% of attacks) — Borshchev absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hooper
RND
Borshchev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hooper · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Borshchev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Hooper · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R2
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Borshchev · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matheus CamiloRating 5.6Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanRating 7Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
James LlontopRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Chase HooperRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

