METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2016
Welterweight
VS
24%
Jouban
76%
Muhammad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alan JoubanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Belal Muhammad · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Muhammad
→
Actual result
Jouban wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Muhammad is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jouban has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Jouban's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Muhammad has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JoubanMuhammad
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jouban
Muhammad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
72"
44
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jouban
Muhammad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
55.8
49.7
Performance Avg
47.1
42
Quality of Victory
31
67
Momentum Score
100
Jouban
Muhammad
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
3.5
5.2
Style: Volume
7.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
54
10
Body
3
11
Leg
0
RangeRange
42Distance56
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Jouban
Muhammad
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jouban
Muhammad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
19 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
22/29 fights
Jouban
Muhammad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
100
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Jouban
Muhammad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
20%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jouban
Muhammad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
JoubanMuhammad
Strike Zones
Jouban
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
57 absorbedMuhammad
Attacking
57 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jouban targets the head (51% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Muhammad targets the head (95% of attacks) — Jouban absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jouban
RND
Muhammad
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
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L · Dec · R5
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