METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Flyweight
VS
4%
Ross
96%
Aguilar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:17
★ Official Result
Jesus AguilarwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:17
def. Shannon Ross · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aguilar
→
Actual result
Aguilar wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Aguilar is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aguilar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Risk flags
Ross's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RossAguilar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ross
Aguilar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
62"
37
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Ross
Aguilar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.0
52.3
0.0
Performance Avg
47.5
0
Quality of Victory
41
0
Momentum Score
60
Ross
Aguilar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
5.2
0.0
Style: Volume
5.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ross
Aguilar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ross
Aguilar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
84
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/22 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Ross
Aguilar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
60
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Ross
Aguilar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ross
Aguilar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
RossAguilar
Strike Zones
Ross
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedAguilar
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ross targets the head (50% of attacks) — Aguilar absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Aguilar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ross absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ross
RND
Aguilar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ross · Last 3
L · KO · R2
HyunSung ParkKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · KO · R1
Jesus AguilarKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Kleydson RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Aguilar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
SumudaerjiDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Luis GuruleDecision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Rafael EstevamDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Stewart NicollSubmission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Mateus MendoncaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02