UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Cormier
50%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cormier
This is a genuine toss-up — Cormier at 50% vs Silva at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cormier
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+77"
47+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cormier
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.9
25.5
68.1
Performance Avg
71.6
61
Quality of Victory
72
100
Momentum Score
100
Cormier
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
63%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
1
Body
2
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance9
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Cormier
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cormier
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
6
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
25/45 fights
Cormier
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cormier
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
82%
3
KO / TKO Wins
11
4
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cormier
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
CormierSilva
Strike Zones
Cormier
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedSilva
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cormier targets the head (55% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (60% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cormier
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Cormier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Cormier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3Submission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Uriah HallRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 4.8Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel CormierRating 5.5Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07