UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Orlando, USA
24 Feb 2018
Welterweight
VS
26%
Perry
74%
Griffin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Griffin
Griffin is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Perry's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Perry
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+76"
34+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perry
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
46.4
44.4
Performance Avg
39.0
43
Quality of Victory
37
50
Momentum Score
74
Perry
Griffin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
9
2
Body
1
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Perry
Griffin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Perry
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
48
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/22 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Perry
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Perry
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perry
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
PerryGriffin
Strike Zones
Perry
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perry targets the head (67% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (64% of attacks) — Perry absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perry
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Perry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Perry · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaRating 6.8Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2Decision
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L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 4.8Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 5.9Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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