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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Welterweight
VS
87%
Neer
13%
Wisniewski
Win Probability
JN
Josh Neer
"The Dentist"
3616
5'11"72" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
KW
Keith Wisniewski
"The Polish Connection"
2815
Well-Rounded4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Josh NeerwinsR2 · 5:00
def. Keith Wisniewski · UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neer
Actual result
Neer wins
Pre-fight analysis

Neer is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Neer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.

Risk flags

Neer's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
NeerWisniewski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Neer
Wisniewski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
43+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Neer
Wisniewski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
2.6
39.5
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Neer
Wisniewski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.5
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
50
Head
8
8
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance6
32Clinch11
0Ground0
Neer
Wisniewski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Neer
Wisniewski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
15/52 fights
Chin rating based on
4/43 fights
Neer
Wisniewski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Dec · R3
Neer
Wisniewski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Neer
Wisniewski
Striking0.8 / 0.0Volume3.5 / 0.0Grappling4.8 / 0.0Wrestling3.4 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Neer
Strike Zones
Wisniewski
Neer
Attacking
50HEAD8BODY0LEGS58 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD9BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Wisniewski
Attacking
8HEAD9BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
50HEAD8BODY0LEGS58 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Neer targets the head (86% of attacks) — Wisniewski absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Wisniewski targets the body (53% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Neer
RND
Wisniewski
0/0R00/0

Neer · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGee
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin Edwards
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike Pyle
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane Ludwig
Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith Wisniewski
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Wisniewski · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Ivan Jorge
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
L · Dec · R3
Chris Clements
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · R2
Josh Neer
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Nick Thompson
Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11

News & Media

Josh Neer · Keith Wisniewski
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