UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Welterweight
VS
87%
Neer
13%
Wisniewski
Win Probability
JN
Josh Neer
"The Dentist"
36 – 16
5'11"72" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
KW
Keith Wisniewski
"The Polish Connection"
28 – 15
Well-Rounded4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Neer

Neer is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Neer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.

Neer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Neer's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Neer
Wisniewski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
43+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Neer
Wisniewski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
2.6
39.5
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Neer
Wisniewski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
50
Head
8
8
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance6
32Clinch11
0Ground0
Neer
Wisniewski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Neer
Wisniewski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/52 fights
Chin rating based on
4/43 fights
Neer
Wisniewski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Dec · R3
Neer
Wisniewski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Neer
Wisniewski
Striking0.8 / 0.0Volume3.5 / 0.0Grappling4.8 / 0.0Wrestling3.4 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Neer
Strike Zones
Wisniewski
Neer
Attacking
50HEAD8BODY0LEGS58 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD9BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Wisniewski
Attacking
8HEAD9BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
50HEAD8BODY0LEGS58 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Neer targets the head (86% of attacks) — Wisniewski absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Wisniewski targets the body (53% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Neer
RND
Wisniewski
0/0R00/0

Neer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L4.2W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.7L2005-082006-082009-082012-062013-02
WinLossTrend

Wisniewski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.8L5.5L5.5L2005-112011-102012-042013-09
WinLossTrend

Neer · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.2
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Wisniewski · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Ivan JorgeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
L · Dec · R3
Chris ClementsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · R2
Josh NeerRating 4.8
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Nick ThompsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11

News & Media

Josh Neer · Keith Wisniewski
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