UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Dallas, USA
15 Mar 2014
Welterweight
VS
56%
Shields
44%
Lombard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shields
This is a genuine toss-up — Shields at 56% vs Lombard at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lombard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Lombard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lombard has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Shields
Lombard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
47+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Shields
Lombard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
11.7
37.9
Performance Avg
39.9
25
Quality of Victory
48
65
Momentum Score
0
Shields
Lombard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.2
32%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Shields
Lombard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shields
Lombard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
24
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/40 fights
Chin rating based on
12/44 fights
Shields
Lombard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Shields
Lombard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shields
Lombard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
ShieldsLombard
Strike Zones
Shields
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedLombard
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shields targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lombard targets the body (60% of attacks) — Shields absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shields
RND
Lombard
0/0R00/0
Shields · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Lombard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Shields · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
W · Dec · R5
Demian MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Ed HermanUFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Yoshihiro AkiyamaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
Lombard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · R1
CB DollawayRating 4UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HendersonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06