UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
Pittsburgh, USA
26 Jun 2011
Featherweight
VS
48%
Stevenson
52%
Vazquez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vazquez
This is a genuine toss-up — Stevenson at 48% vs Vazquez at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Stevenson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Striking split: Vazquez throws more volume but Stevenson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Stevenson's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stevenson
Vazquez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
43+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stevenson
Vazquez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
21.3
49.2
Performance Avg
55.0
49
Quality of Victory
25
86
Momentum Score
100
Stevenson
Vazquez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
36%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
36
4
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance36
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Stevenson
Vazquez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stevenson
Vazquez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/49 fights
Chin rating based on
1/21 fights
Stevenson
Vazquez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Stevenson
Vazquez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stevenson
Vazquez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
10.0
StevensonVazquez
Strike Zones
Stevenson
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedVazquez
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stevenson targets the head (65% of attacks) — Vazquez absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Vazquez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stevenson
RND
Vazquez
0/0R00/0
Stevenson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Stevenson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
Vazquez · Last 1
W · Dec · R3
Joe StevensonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06