METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
47%
Clark
53%
Collier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Devin ClarkwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jake Collier · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Collier
→
Actual result
Clark wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Clark at 47% vs Collier at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Clark's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Collier has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ClarkCollier
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Clark
Collier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+78"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Clark
Collier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.9
26.7
35.7
Performance Avg
36.4
28
Quality of Victory
37
43
Momentum Score
45
Clark
Collier
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
2.3
Style: Pressure
3.9
7.9
Style: Volume
5.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
2
7
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
1Clinch1
30Ground1
Clark
Collier
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Clark
Collier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
2
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/23 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Clark
Collier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Clark
Collier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Clark
Collier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
ClarkCollier
Strike Zones
Clark
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedCollier
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Clark targets the head (73% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Collier targets the head (67% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Clark
RND
Collier
0/0R00/0
Clark · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Collier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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