METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Welterweight
VS
70%
Brown
30%
Turman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Randy BrownwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Wellington Turman · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Brown is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turman has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownTurman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Turman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Turman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
22.5
48.7
Performance Avg
33.2
39
Quality of Victory
33
92
Momentum Score
15
Brown
Turman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
3.3
5.3
Style: Volume
6.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
10
7
Body
4
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
17Distance12
1Clinch6
0Ground0
Brown
Turman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
2.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Turman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
38
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Brown
Turman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Turman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Turman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
BrownTurman
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTurman
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (44% of attacks) — Turman absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Turman targets the head (56% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Turman
0/0R00/0
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandDecision
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L · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Nicolas DalbyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BattleDecision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Turman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jared GoodenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiDecision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08