UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Welterweight
VS
66%
Brown
34%
Turman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brown
Brown holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Turman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Brown throws more volume but Turman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turman has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brown
Turman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
72"
35
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Turman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
27.0
48.7
Performance Avg
33.2
39
Quality of Victory
33
92
Momentum Score
15
Brown
Turman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
10
7
Body
4
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
17Distance12
1Clinch6
0Ground0
Brown
Turman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Turman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
38
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Brown
Turman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Turman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Turman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
BrownTurman
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTurman
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (44% of attacks) — Turman absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Turman targets the head (56% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Turman
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Turman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BattleRating 7.3Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Turman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jared GoodenRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08