UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Anaheim, USA
12 Nov 2011
Welterweight
VS
86%
Pierce
14%
Bradley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pierce
Pierce is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pierce has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Pierce has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Pierce
Bradley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"
Reach
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pierce
Bradley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
2.7
48.0
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
38
Momentum Score
0
Pierce
Bradley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
44%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
19
7
Body
3
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
28Distance20
3Clinch4
3Ground0
Pierce
Bradley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pierce
Bradley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/31 fights
Pierce
Bradley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pierce
Bradley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pierce
Bradley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PierceBradley
Strike Zones
Pierce
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedBradley
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pierce targets the head (74% of attacks) — Bradley absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Bradley targets the head (79% of attacks) — Pierce absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pierce
RND
Bradley
0/0R00/0
Pierce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Bradley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Pierce · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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W · KO · R2
David MitchellRating 5.2KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Seth BaczynskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
Bradley · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
L · Dec · R3
Rafael NatalRating 5.5Decision
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