UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
Montreal, Canada
11 Dec 2010
Welterweight
VS
54%
Grant
46%
Almeida
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grant
This is a genuine toss-up — Grant at 54% vs Almeida at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Grant has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Almeida has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Grant
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+74"
42+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
18.0
53.5
Performance Avg
45.1
41
Quality of Victory
39
75
Momentum Score
72
Grant
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
24
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground22
Grant
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grant
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Grant
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
72
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Grant
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Almeida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
GrantAlmeida
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedAlmeida
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the body (100% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (92% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
Grant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Grant · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Gray MaynardRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
W · KO · R1
Matt WimanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 4.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Carlo PraterRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
W · Sub · R3
Shane RollerRating 5.5Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
Almeida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mike PyleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
TJ GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Sub · R1
Matt HughesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 4.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08