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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Dallas, USA
19 Sept 2009
Lightweight
VS
95%
Miller
5%
Lopez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 Β· 0:48
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
SL
Steve Lopez
13 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox5'11"
CFR 2
β˜… Official Result
Jim MillerwinsKO/TKOR2 Β· 0:48
def. Steve Lopez Β· UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
β†’
Actual result
Miller wins
KO/TKO Β· R2
Pre-fight analysis

Miller is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 45 points.

Miller has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MillerLopez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Miller
Lopez
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
42
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Lopez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
2.1
51.5
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Miller
Lopez
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
20%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Miller
Lopez
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Lopez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
2/19 fights
Miller
Lopez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
28
0
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
Miller
Lopez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Lopez
Striking3.4 / 0.0Volume3.5 / 0.0Grappling4.7 / 0.0Wrestling3.3 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Miller
Strike Zones
Lopez
Miller
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Lopez
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the legs (100% of attacks) β€” Lopez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lopez targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Lopez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Miller Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Lopez Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0103.2L5.5L2009-092010-09
WinLossTrend

Miller Β· Last 5

W Β· Sub Β· R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Β· 2026-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes Β· 2025-04
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic Β· 2024-11
L Β· Dec Β· R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill Β· 2024-04
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 Β· 2024-01

Lopez Β· Last 2

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Waylon LoweRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop Β· 2010-09
L Β· KO Β· R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort Β· 2009-09

News & Media

Jim Miller Β· Steve Lopez
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