UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Zagreb, Croatia
10 Apr 2016
Featherweight
VS
46%
Whiteford
54%
Martins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Martins
This is a genuine toss-up — Whiteford at 46% vs Martins at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Martins throws more volume but Whiteford connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Martins has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Whiteford
Martins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
+72"
43
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Whiteford
Martins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
18.1
41.5
Performance Avg
49.7
43
Quality of Victory
45
33
Momentum Score
52
Whiteford
Martins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.8
43%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
4
Body
0
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
13Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Whiteford
Martins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Whiteford
Martins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Whiteford
Martins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Whiteford
Martins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Whiteford
Martins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
WhitefordMartins
Strike Zones
Whiteford
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMartins
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Whiteford targets the head (38% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Martins targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Whiteford absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Whiteford
RND
Martins
0/0R00/0
Whiteford · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Martins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Whiteford · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Lucas MartinsRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
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W · KO · R1
Paul RedmondRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
L · Sub · R2
Jimy HettesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
Martins · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Robert WhitefordRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Mirsad BekticRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · KO · R3
Alex WhiteRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
W · Sub · R1
Ramiro HernandezRating 5Submission
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