UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero
Hollywood, USA
27 Jun 2015
Middleweight
VS
44%
Machida
56%
Romero
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:38
LM
Lyoto Machida
"The Dragon"
24 – 8
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw47 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
YR
Yoel Romero
"Soldier of God"
13 – 5
Knockout Artist3-fight slide49 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'0"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Romero

This is a genuine toss-up — Machida at 44% vs Romero at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Romero has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Machida's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Machida
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
47+
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Machida
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
24.0
53.8
Performance Avg
56.4
45
Quality of Victory
48
78
Momentum Score
100
Machida
Romero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
7
1
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Machida
Romero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Machida
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
92
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/32 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Machida
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Machida
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
78%
7
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Machida
Romero
Striking5.7 / 9.2Volume5.3 / 3.2Grappling1.7 / 0.5Wrestling1.2 / 0.4Submission0.6 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Machida
Strike Zones
Romero
Machida
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Romero
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Machida targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (70% of attacks) — Machida absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Machida
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0

Machida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.1W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W3.9L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W6.3L5.0W2.1L2.8L1.8L5.3W5.2W2007-022009-052012-082014-122018-05
WinLossTrend

Romero · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W5.5W5.8W4.5W5.5W5.2W4.5W6.3W6.4L5.3W6.4L6.5L6.9L2013-042014-092017-072020-03
WinLossTrend

Machida · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1
Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04

Romero · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R3
Luke RockholdRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07

News & Media

Lyoto Machida · Yoel Romero
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