UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2013
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Figueroa
57%
Rivera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:20
EF
Edwin Figueroa
"El Feroz"
9 – 5
5'7"69" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
FR
Francisco Rivera
"Cisco"
11 – 7
Striker3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rivera

This is a genuine toss-up — Figueroa at 43% vs Rivera at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rivera has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Figueroa
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
69"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Figueroa
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.9
18.7
37.3
Performance Avg
45.2
40
Quality of Victory
49
30
Momentum Score
69
Figueroa
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.8
39%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
16
1
Body
4
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
6Distance27
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Figueroa
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Figueroa
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
58
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Figueroa
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
69
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Figueroa
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Figueroa
Rivera
Striking5.7 / 8.3Volume4.7 / 2.8Grappling1.2 / 0.6Wrestling0.8 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Figueroa
Strike Zones
Rivera
Figueroa
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY7LEGS27 absorbed
Rivera
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY7LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Figueroa targets the head (89% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the head (59% of attacks) — Figueroa absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Figueroa
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Figueroa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L5.2W4.7W2.8L5.5L5.5L2011-032011-082012-022013-022013-062013-11
WinLossTrend

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.0L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L2.8L5.2W1.5L5.5L5.5L2011-062013-112015-062016-07
WinLossTrend

Figueroa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Roland DelormeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco RiveraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · KO · R2
Jason ReinhardtRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08

Rivera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Alex CaceresRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12

News & Media

Edwin Figueroa · Francisco Rivera
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