METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Bantamweight
VS
41%
Newson
59%
Costa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:41
★ Official Result
Randy CostawinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:41
def. Journey Newson · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Costa
→
Actual result
Costa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Newson at 41% vs Costa at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Costa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Newson's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Costa has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NewsonCosta
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Newson
Costa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Newson
Costa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
24.9
23.0
Performance Avg
49.3
25
Quality of Victory
60
15
Momentum Score
13
Newson
Costa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
0.6
Style: Pressure
8.0
8.4
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Newson
Costa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Newson
Costa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
32
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/10 fights
Newson
Costa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
13
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Newson
Costa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Newson
Costa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
NewsonCosta
Strike Zones
Newson
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedCosta
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Newson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Costa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Newson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Newson
RND
Costa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Newson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Marcus McGheeSubmission
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Fernie GarciaDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Randy CostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
Upcoming
Domingo PilarteUFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
Costa · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Guido CannettiSubmission
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L · KO · R2
Tony KelleyKO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Adrian YanezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Journey NewsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Boston SalmonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10