METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Denver, USA
11 Aug 2012
Featherweight
VS
24%
Lawrence
76%
Holloway
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:49
JL
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:49
def. Justin Lawrence · UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Holloway is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lawrence's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holloway has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LawrenceHolloway
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lawrence
Holloway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
67"
Reach
+69"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lawrence
Holloway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
56.2
43.3
Performance Avg
56.8
50
Quality of Victory
47
43
Momentum Score
63
Lawrence
Holloway
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
2.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
52%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
12
2
Body
7
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Lawrence
Holloway
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lawrence
Holloway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
33/36 fights
Lawrence
Holloway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Lawrence
Holloway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
52%
1
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lawrence
Holloway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
LawrenceHolloway
Strike Zones
Lawrence
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedHolloway
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lawrence targets the head (75% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Holloway targets the head (63% of attacks) — Lawrence absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lawrence
RND
Holloway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lawrence · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Holloway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Lawrence · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Daniel PinedaRating 2.4Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04
L · KO · R2
Max HollowayRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · KO · R3
John CoferRating 5.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
Holloway · Last 5
Upcoming
Conor McGregorUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04