METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Denver, USA
11 Aug 2012
Featherweight
VS
23%
Lawrence
77%
Holloway
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:49
JL
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:49
def. Justin Lawrence · UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Holloway is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lawrence's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holloway has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LawrenceHolloway
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lawrence
Holloway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
67"
Reach
+69"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lawrence
Holloway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
56.9
43.3
Performance Avg
57.7
50
Quality of Victory
48
43
Momentum Score
63
Lawrence
Holloway
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
6.0
0.7
Style: Volume
4.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
12
2
Body
7
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Lawrence
Holloway
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lawrence
Holloway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
33/36 fights
Lawrence
Holloway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Lawrence
Holloway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
54%
1
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lawrence
Holloway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
LawrenceHolloway
Strike Zones
Lawrence
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedHolloway
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lawrence targets the head (75% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Holloway targets the head (63% of attacks) — Lawrence absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lawrence
RND
Holloway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lawrence · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Daniel PinedaSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04
L · KO · R2
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · KO · R3
John CoferKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04