METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Bantamweight
VS
80%
Newson
20%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Journey NewsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Fernie Garcia · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Newson
→
Actual result
Newson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Newson is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Newson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Newson's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NewsonGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Newson
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Newson
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
4.3
23.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
15
Momentum Score
0
Newson
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.4
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
6
6
Body
2
5
Leg
4
RangeRange
18Distance12
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Newson
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Newson
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Newson
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Newson
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Newson
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NewsonGarcia
Strike Zones
Newson
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Newson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (50% of attacks) — Newson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Newson
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Newson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Marcus McGheeSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Sergey MorozovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Randy CostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
Upcoming
Domingo PilarteUFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
Garcia · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Hyder AmilKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Rinya NakamuraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Brady HiestandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Journey NewsonDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05