UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
Salt Lake City, USA
29 Jul 2023
Welterweight
VS
64%
Bonfim
36%
Giles
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bonfim
Bonfim holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Giles has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Bonfim throws more volume but Giles connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Giles has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bonfim
Giles
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+74"
28+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonfim
Giles
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.3
39.6
61.5
Performance Avg
41.9
45
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
72
Bonfim
Giles
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bonfim
Giles
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bonfim
Giles
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Bonfim
Giles
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Bonfim
Giles
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bonfim
Giles
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
BonfimGiles
Strike Zones
Bonfim
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGiles
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bonfim targets the head (67% of attacks) — Giles absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Giles targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bonfim
RND
Giles
0/0R00/0
Bonfim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Giles · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Bonfim · Last 5
Upcoming
Belal MuhammadUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Randy BrownRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Khaos WilliamsRating 6.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
Giles · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.2Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Louis CosceRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09

