METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Austin, USA
18 Feb 2018
Welterweight
VS
98%
Neal
2%
Camozzi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:48
★ Official Result
Geoff NealwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:48
def. Brian Camozzi · UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neal
→
Actual result
Neal wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Neal is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Neal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Risk flags
Neal's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Camozzi has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NealCamozzi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Neal
Camozzi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+78"
36
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Neal
Camozzi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
1.2
51.7
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
72
Momentum Score
0
Neal
Camozzi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.1
Style: Volume
0.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
1
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Neal
Camozzi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Neal
Camozzi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
44
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Neal
Camozzi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Neal
Camozzi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Neal
Camozzi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NealCamozzi
Strike Zones
Neal
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedCamozzi
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Neal targets the head (79% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Camozzi targets the head (43% of attacks) — Neal absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Neal
RND
Camozzi
0/0R00/0
Neal · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Camozzi · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Geoff NealSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R3
Chad LapriseKO/TKO
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Randy BrownKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12