METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Monterrey, Mexico
21 Nov 2015
Bantamweight
VS
72%
Perez
28%
Jorgensen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:26
★ Official Result
Alejandro PerezwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:26
def. Scott Jorgensen · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Perez
→
Actual result
Perez wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Perez is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Perez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jorgensen has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PerezJorgensen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Perez
Jorgensen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
66"
37+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Jorgensen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.4
14.1
56.3
Performance Avg
37.9
49
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
54
Perez
Jorgensen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
4.5
5.3
Style: Volume
4.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
1
3
Body
0
10
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance1
1Clinch0
6Ground0
Perez
Jorgensen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Jorgensen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
14
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/32 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Perez
Jorgensen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
54
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Perez
Jorgensen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perez
Jorgensen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
PerezJorgensen
Strike Zones
Perez
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedJorgensen
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (57% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Jorgensen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perez
RND
Jorgensen
0/0R00/0
Perez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Sub · R2
Johnny EduardoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Song YadongKO/TKO
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Cody StamannDecision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Eddie WinelandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Jorgensen · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisSubmission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03