UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Lightweight
VS
82%
Miller
18%
Gomi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Gomi throws more volume but Miller connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gomi has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Gomi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
Gomi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
9.8
51.5
Performance Avg
37.1
45
Quality of Victory
41
28
Momentum Score
0
Miller
Gomi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Miller
Gomi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Gomi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
13/49 fights
Miller
Gomi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Miller
Gomi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Gomi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
MillerGomi
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGomi
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gomi absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gomi targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Gomi
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Gomi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Gomi · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dong Hyun MaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Sub · R1
Jon TuckRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · KO · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Joe LauzonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09