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UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
26 Jun 2021
Lightweight
VS
50%
Moicano
50%
Herbert
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:34
Renato
Renato Moicano
21 – 7
5'11"72" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Jai
Jai Herbert
"Black Country Banger"
14 – 6
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 50
★ Official Result
Renato MoicanowinsSubmissionR2 · 4:34
def. Jai Herbert · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moicano
→
Actual result
Moicano wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Moicano at 50% vs Herbert at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Moicano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moicano's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herbert has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MoicanoHerbert
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moicano
Herbert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+77"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moicano
Herbert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
49.6
51.7
Performance Avg
43.3
43
Quality of Victory
43
64
Momentum Score
74
Moicano
Herbert
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
18Ground0
Moicano
Herbert
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moicano
Herbert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Moicano
Herbert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
74
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Moicano
Herbert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moicano
Herbert
Striking2.1 / 5.9Volume3.8 / 4.9Grappling5.0 / 1.2Wrestling3.5 / 0.8Submission5.4 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Moicano
Strike Zones
Herbert
Moicano
Attacking
18HEAD0BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Herbert
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD0BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moicano targets the head (100% of attacks) — Herbert absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Herbert targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moicano
RND
Herbert
0/0R00/0

Moicano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.4L5.0W5.5W3.2L2.0L5.0W2.5L6.0W6.1W5.7L5.0W5.7W6.5W5.9W3.5L6.5L6.4W2014-122018-082021-062024-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Herbert · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.0L3.5L5.0W5.1L4.6W6.7L4.5W7.3L5.0W2020-072022-032024-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Moicano · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Herbert · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Mandel NalloRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris PadillaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Upcoming
Ludovit Klein
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

News & Media

Renato Moicano · Jai Herbert
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