UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
26 Jun 2021
Lightweight
VS
50%
Moicano
50%
Herbert
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Moicano
This is a genuine toss-up — Moicano at 50% vs Herbert at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Moicano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moicano's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Herbert has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Moicano
Herbert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+77"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moicano
Herbert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
49.6
51.7
Performance Avg
43.3
43
Quality of Victory
43
64
Momentum Score
74
Moicano
Herbert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
18Ground0
Moicano
Herbert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moicano
Herbert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Moicano
Herbert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
74
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Moicano
Herbert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moicano
Herbert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
MoicanoHerbert
Strike Zones
Moicano
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHerbert
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moicano targets the head (100% of attacks) — Herbert absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Herbert targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moicano
RND
Herbert
0/0R00/0
Moicano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Herbert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Moicano · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Herbert · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Mandel NalloRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris PadillaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Upcoming
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

