UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2011
Featherweight
VS
52%
Pearson
48%
Assuncao
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pearson
This is a genuine toss-up — Pearson at 52% vs Assuncao at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Pearson throws more volume but Assuncao connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pearson
Assuncao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+72"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pearson
Assuncao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
15.4
44.3
Performance Avg
38.3
42
Quality of Victory
37
89
Momentum Score
50
Pearson
Assuncao
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
65%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
11
3
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance6
4Clinch5
0Ground0
Pearson
Assuncao
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pearson
Assuncao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
5/22 fights
Pearson
Assuncao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Pearson
Assuncao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearson
Assuncao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
PearsonAssuncao
Strike Zones
Pearson
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedAssuncao
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the head (70% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Assuncao targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearson
RND
Assuncao
0/0R00/0
Pearson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Assuncao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Pearson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5KO/TKO
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Assuncao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Eddie YaginRating 4.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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