UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
7 Sept 2019
Welterweight
VS
21%
Taleb
79%
Salikhov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:26
NT
Nordine Taleb
15 – 7
6'1"74" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
Muslim
Muslim Salikhov
"King of Kung Fu"
22 – 6
Striker41 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Salikhov

Salikhov is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Taleb has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Taleb's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Salikhov has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Taleb
Salikhov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
70"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Taleb
Salikhov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
54.5
43.9
Performance Avg
51.4
34
Quality of Victory
43
52
Momentum Score
83
Taleb
Salikhov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
2
3
Leg
7
RangeRange
6Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Taleb
Salikhov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Taleb
Salikhov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Taleb
Salikhov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
83
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Taleb
Salikhov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Taleb
Salikhov
Striking4.0 / 6.8Volume6.9 / 4.8Grappling1.7 / 1.1Wrestling1.2 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Taleb
Strike Zones
Salikhov
Taleb
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY7LEGS10 absorbed
Salikhov
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY7LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Taleb targets the head (50% of attacks) — Salikhov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Salikhov targets the legs (70% of attacks) — Taleb absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Taleb
RND
Salikhov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Taleb · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W5.3W4.5W3.0L5.2W6.0L4.5W5.0W1.5L3.9L4.5W2.5L2014-042015-082017-052018-102019-09
WinLossTrend

Salikhov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L5.2W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W3.5L5.5W5.8L2.4L5.0W5.4W5.8W3.3L2017-112020-072023-062025-072025-11
WinLossTrend

Taleb · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · KO · R2
Sean StricklandRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Sub · R1
Claudio SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · KO · R1
Danny RobertsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12

Salikhov · Last 5

Upcoming
Jake Matthews
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Song KenanRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Nordine Taleb · Muslim Salikhov
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