METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
14 May 2022
Bantamweight
VS
66%
Grant
34%
Smolka
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:49
★ Official Result
Davey GrantwinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:49
def. Louis Smolka · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grant
→
Actual result
Grant wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Grant holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Smolka has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smolka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Grant's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smolka has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GrantSmolka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grant
Smolka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"+
Reach
68"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Smolka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
26.6
44.2
Performance Avg
46.5
36
Quality of Victory
46
85
Momentum Score
60
Grant
Smolka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
5.9
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
6.7
5.6
Style: Volume
2.9
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
1
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Grant
Smolka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Smolka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
12
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Grant
Smolka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
60
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Grant
Smolka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
75%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Smolka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
GrantSmolka
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSmolka
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (56% of attacks) — Smolka absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Smolka targets the head (100% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Smolka
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Grant · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Smolka · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Davey GrantKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Vince MoralesKO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Jose QuinonezKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Casey KenneySubmission
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W · KO · R1
Ryan MacDonaldKO/TKO
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