UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Las Vegas, USA
18 Feb 2023
Welterweight
VS
44%
Fletcher
56%
Gorimbo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:37
AF
AJ Fletcher
"The Ghost"
10 – 3
5'10"67" reachSwitch29 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 35
Themba
Themba Gorimbo
"Mamba"
14 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gorimbo

This is a genuine toss-up — Fletcher at 44% vs Gorimbo at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Fletcher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Gorimbo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Fletcher
Gorimbo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
67"
Reach
+77"
29+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Fletcher
Gorimbo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.7
43.6
39.7
Performance Avg
40.2
50
Quality of Victory
34
29
Momentum Score
53
Fletcher
Gorimbo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
60%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Fletcher
Gorimbo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fletcher
Gorimbo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
8/21 fights
Fletcher
Gorimbo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
29
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Fletcher
Gorimbo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fletcher
Gorimbo
Striking0.5 / 3.5Volume0.5 / 7.0Grappling8.0 / 1.8Wrestling5.6 / 1.3Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Fletcher
Strike Zones
Gorimbo
Fletcher
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Gorimbo
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fletcher targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gorimbo absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gorimbo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fletcher absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fletcher
RND
Gorimbo
0/0R00/0

Fletcher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.0L5.5L5.7W4.5L2022-032022-082023-022023-09
WinLossTrend

Gorimbo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0102.8L4.7W5.7W6.0W5.2W3.0L6.9L7.1L2023-022024-022024-102025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Fletcher · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Bryan BattleRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · Sub · R2
Themba GorimboRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03

Gorimbo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MicallefRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

News & Media

AJ Fletcher · Themba Gorimbo
← Back to fights