UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
Nashville, USA
5 Aug 2023
Featherweight
VS
56%
Woodson
44%
Buzukja
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Woodson
This is a genuine toss-up — Woodson at 56% vs Buzukja at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Buzukja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Woodson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Woodson's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Buzukja has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Woodson
Buzukja
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
78"+
Reach
70"
33
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Woodson
Buzukja
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.1
44.9
52.1
Performance Avg
38.0
35
Quality of Victory
50
84
Momentum Score
39
Woodson
Buzukja
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
8
5
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance12
2Clinch5
2Ground0
Woodson
Buzukja
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Woodson
Buzukja
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Woodson
Buzukja
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
39
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Woodson
Buzukja
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Woodson
Buzukja
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
WoodsonBuzukja
Strike Zones
Woodson
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBuzukja
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Woodson targets the head (74% of attacks) — Buzukja absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Buzukja targets the head (47% of attacks) — Woodson absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Woodson
RND
Buzukja
0/0R00/0
Woodson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Buzukja · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Woodson · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Dan IgeRating 4.7KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Fernando PadillaRating 6.3KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
Buzukja · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcio BarbosaRating 3.9KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R3
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L · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08