UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal
London, United Kingdom
16 Mar 2019
Middleweight
VS
46%
Marshman
54%
Phillips
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
Jack Marshman
"The Hammer"
23 – 10
6'0"73" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
JP
John Phillips
"The Welsh Wrecking Machine"
22 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw75" reach5'11"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Phillips

This is a genuine toss-up — Marshman at 46% vs Phillips at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Phillips has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Marshman throws more volume but Phillips connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Marshman's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Phillips has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marshman
Phillips
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
+75"
36+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Marshman
Phillips
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
16.7
36.0
Performance Avg
42.7
35
Quality of Victory
60
54
Momentum Score
33
Marshman
Phillips
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.3
25%
Strike Accuracy
29%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
7
3
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Marshman
Phillips
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marshman
Phillips
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Marshman
Phillips
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Marshman
Phillips
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marshman
Phillips
Striking4.1 / 10.0Volume6.1 / 0.3Grappling1.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Marshman
Strike Zones
Phillips
Marshman
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Phillips
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marshman targets the head (64% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Phillips targets the head (64% of attacks) — Marshman absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marshman
RND
Phillips
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Marshman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.2W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W2.9L6.6L2016-112017-072018-112019-072020-10
WinLossTrend

Phillips · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.6L5.5L5.0W4.7L6.6L2018-032018-112019-032019-092020-072020-10
WinLossTrend

Marshman · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
John PhillipsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Karl RobersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10

Phillips · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Khamzat ChimaevRating 4.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Alen AmedovskiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Jack MarshmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Sub · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11

News & Media

Jack Marshman · John Phillips
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