UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Shanghai, China
25 Nov 2017
Welterweight
VS
98%
Kenan
2%
Nash
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kenan
Kenan is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kenan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Kenan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kenan's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nash has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kenan
Nash
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kenan
Nash
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
1.0
46.8
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
35
Momentum Score
0
Kenan
Nash
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
2.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Kenan
Nash
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kenan
Nash
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/31 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Kenan
Nash
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Kenan
Nash
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kenan
Nash
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KenanNash
Strike Zones
Kenan
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedNash
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kenan targets the head (93% of attacks) — Nash absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Nash targets the body (100% of attacks) — Kenan absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kenan
RND
Nash
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kenan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Nash · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Kenan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Kevin JoussetRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Nash · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Song KenanRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Danny RobertsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Li JingliangRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01