UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Hamburg, Germany
22 Jul 2018
Bantamweight
VS
55%
Stasiak
45%
Liu
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DS
Damian Stasiak
"Webster"
10 – 6
5'5"70" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 15
PL
Pingyuan Liu
13 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'6"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Stasiak

This is a genuine toss-up — Stasiak at 55% vs Liu at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Stasiak has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Liu throws more volume but Stasiak connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Stasiak
Liu
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
70"
Reach
+72"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stasiak
Liu
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
12.5
43.0
Performance Avg
35.0
50
Quality of Victory
25
13
Momentum Score
39
Stasiak
Liu
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.9
36%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
14
4
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance13
3Clinch1
0Ground6
Stasiak
Liu
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stasiak
Liu
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/20 fights
Stasiak
Liu
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Stasiak
Liu
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stasiak
Liu
Striking0.7 / 1.0Volume0.7 / 9.0Grappling8.0 / 2.4Wrestling5.6 / 1.7Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Stasiak
Strike Zones
Liu
Stasiak
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Liu
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stasiak targets the head (50% of attacks) — Liu absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Liu targets the head (70% of attacks) — Stasiak absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stasiak
RND
Liu
0/0R00/0

Stasiak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.0W6.3W6.0L4.3L5.5L2015-042016-042016-102017-052017-102018-07
WinLossTrend

Liu · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.5W4.5L6.4L2018-072018-112019-072019-12
WinLossTrend

Stasiak · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Pingyuan LiuRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Sub · R1
Filip PejicRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04

Liu · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Martin DayRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Damian StasiakRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07

News & Media

Damian Stasiak · Pingyuan Liu
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