UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2016
Featherweight
VS
58%
Rodriguez
42%
Fili
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:15
Yair
Yair Rodriguez
"El Pantera"
21 – 6
5'11"71" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 66
Andre
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
25 – 13
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 58% vs Fili at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rodriguez
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+74"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.4
48.8
60.2
Performance Avg
42.0
51
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
100
Rodriguez
Fili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground1
Rodriguez
Fili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
26/38 fights
Rodriguez
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Rodriguez
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
31%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Fili
Striking5.1 / 4.1Volume5.8 / 6.6Grappling2.0 / 1.7Wrestling1.4 / 1.2Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.4 / 3.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Fili
Rodriguez
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Fili
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (63% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.4W5.9W4.7W5.1W4.8L6.0W5.0W6.6L6.4W5.2W4.2L4.1L4.5W2014-112016-082019-102023-072025-04
WinLossTrend

Fili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.2W5.1L4.5W1.5L5.2W4.3L4.5W6.0L4.5W4.5W5.6L4.5W5.0W6.3L5.3W6.5L3.1L4.7W6.3L5.1W2.2L5.0W2.7L5.1W7.0L2013-102017-072020-062024-062026-03
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 4.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07

Fili · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

News & Media

Yair Rodriguez · Andre Fili
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