METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Jul 2015
Welterweight
VS
29%
Graves
71%
Luque
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael GraveswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Vicente Luque · The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luque
→
Actual result
Graves wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Luque is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Luque has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Luque has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GravesLuque
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Graves
Luque
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Graves
Luque
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.3
59.9
62.3
Performance Avg
56.1
37
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
79
Graves
Luque
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
7.7
6.0
Style: Volume
2.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
11
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch2
1Ground9
Graves
Luque
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.1
1
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Graves
Luque
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
32
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/6 fights
Chin rating based on
26/36 fights
Graves
Luque
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
79
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Graves
Luque
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
82%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
7
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Graves
Luque
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.1
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
GravesLuque
Strike Zones
Graves
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedLuque
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Graves targets the head (67% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Luque targets the body (85% of attacks) — Graves absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Graves
RND
Luque
0/0R00/0
Graves · Last 3
Upcoming
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