UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
1 Feb 2025
Heavyweight
VS
59%
Gaziev
41%
Petersen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gaziev
This is a genuine toss-up — Gaziev at 59% vs Petersen at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gaziev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Petersen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gaziev's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petersen has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gaziev
Petersen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
74"
36
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Gaziev
Petersen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.3
34.1
48.0
Performance Avg
35.0
47
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
40
Gaziev
Petersen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
37%
Strike Accuracy
66%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
5
Body
7
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
13Distance18
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Gaziev
Petersen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gaziev
Petersen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Gaziev
Petersen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Gaziev
Petersen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gaziev
Petersen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
GazievPetersen
Strike Zones
Gaziev
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedPetersen
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gaziev targets the head (64% of attacks) — Petersen absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Petersen targets the legs (42% of attacks) — Gaziev absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gaziev
RND
Petersen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gaziev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Petersen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Gaziev · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Brando PericicRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Thomas PetersenRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
Petersen · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Guilherme PatRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Shamil GazievRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 5.5Decision
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